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Tuesday, January 11, 2011

The Black Swan Part 1



“Rara Avis in Terris Nigroque Simillima Cygno”
- The poet Juvenal

Translation from Latin
“A RARE BIRD in the lands, and Very Like a BLACK SWAN”

From wikipedia:
Juvenal's phrase was a common expression in 16th century London as a statement of impossibility. The London expression derives from the Old World presumption that all swans must be white because all historical records of swans reported that they had white feathers. In that context, a black swan was impossible or at least nonexistent. After a Dutch expedition led by explorer Willem de Vlamingh on the Swan River in 1697, discovered black swans in Western Australia, the term metamorphosed to connote that a perceived impossibility might later be disproven. Taleb notes that in the 19th century John Stuart Mill used the black swan logical fallacy as a new term to identify falsification.


In his 2007 book The Black Swan, author Nassim Nicholas Taleb established what today is widely known as “Black Swan Theory”. The basic premise set forth by Taleb tries to explain:

The disproportionate role of high-impact, hard to predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance and technology [The event is a surprise]

The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to their very nature of small probabilities) [The event in question has a major impact]

The psychological biases that make people individually and collectively blind to uncertainty and unaware of the massive role of the rare event in historical affairs. [Via hindsight the event should have been expected with known available data taken into account]

As an eso-researcher, it can be said that I (and others) investigate Black Swan events. Taleb himself points to the events of 9-11 as just such an event, and it was the events of 9-11 that led me to begin Through The Looking Glass in the first place.

On January 5th 2011 fellow researcher Goro Adachi predicted the likely-hood of just such an event on January 8th. The Talented Mr. Adachi couldn’t have been more correct. The Mass shooting in Tucson, Arizona has rocked the Nation, and has simultaneously opened the floodgates (see Australian Floods/OZ) for a full examination.


The name Tucson, as Goro points out, can be read as “Two Suns”. This is a direct reference to the film “2010: The Year We Make Contact” in which the planet Jupiter is exploded to literally create TWO SUNS. [It is important to also note that the NBA franchise in PHOENIX, AZ. Are known as THE SUNS, plural] Another reading of TUCSON can be “Two Sons” or in this particular case TWINS (a subject covered here before). Interestingly, Goro also introduces the 1999 film “The Astronaut’s Wife” into the equation. The believed target of the Tucson massacre was Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords, her husband, Mark E. Kelly is an astronaut (A Space Shuttle Commander who is scheduled to Captain the final shuttle mission on April 1st, 2011) as well as a TWIN. His brother is also an astronaut and commander of the ISS Space Station. “The Astronaut’s Wife” depicts time loss in space, an alien intervention, and the birth of TWINS via an extra-terrestrial being.




As more details of the Tucson Event have been made public, we have yet again been presented with a young, mentally unstable shooter. The name TUCSON also can be translated as “The base of the black hill” which is surprisingly (or not so) close to Blacksburg (the black mound) which was the site of another mass murder involving a similar MO; previously covered here. In keeping with the pentagram symbolism represented in the work of Goro Adachi, it is also important to note that the city of Tucson, Az. Is surrounded by 5 Mountains which resemble an invented pentagram around the city. [Santa Catalina & Tortolita Mountains to the North, Santa Rita Mountain to the South, Rincon Mountain to the East, and Tucson Mountain to the West]

For the moment let’s return to The Black Swan or at the very least the concept of BLACKBIRDS. Goro Adachi, myself and others quickly reported on the deaths of thousands of Red-winged BLACKBIRDS on New Year’s Eve in the state of Arkansas. Mr. Adachi presented stills from the ABC television show “Flash Forward” in which the mass death of thousands of BIRDS is central to a World Wide “Event”. It is interesting to note that Episode 4 of Season 1 of “Flash Forward” is titled BLACK SWAN. Another popular show that found it’s way into the work of eso-researchers, “Lost” also dealt with time-loss, downed BIRDS, and brought THE SWAN into public consciousness as a major plot device.




In the days that have passed since the Tucson Event, TWO major points have come to light. 8th District Representative Gabrielle Giffords office was located at 1661 (see Mirroring and TWINS here) North SWAN Road, and lone gunman Jared Lee Loughner was referred to by a former classmate as a “rare BIRD” (A BLACK SWAN?).


In his own words, 77 days prior to his deadly real life statement, Loughner posted one of many online “syllogisms” in which he referenced BIRDS multiple times:

"There's something important in this video: There's no communication to anyone in this location. You shouldn't be afraid of the stars. There's a new bird on my right shoulder. The beak is two feet and lime green. The rarest bird on earth, there's no feathers, but small grey scales all over the body. It's with one large red eye with a light blue iris. The bird feet are the same as a woodpecker. This new bird and there's only one, the gender is not female or male. The wings of this bird are beautiful; 3 feet wide with the shape of a bald eagle that you could die for. If you can see this bird then you will understand. You think this bird is able to chat about a government? I want you to imagine a comet or meteoroid coming through the atmosphere."


8 comments:

JB said...

I was just looking at Flash Forward on French-Canadian tv the other day (on a sci-fi channel named "Z télé"), and the episode was precisely Black Swan, which struck me as quite synchro-mystical, since I usually never watch that show, and I was just thinking about the symbolism of black swans and the possibility of a Black Swan Event wiping out the already failing global economy.

suki said...

Amazing! thank you for this great post.

Anonymous said...

http://www.youtube.com/user/TheGreatPiniter

It's another channel by the shooter.
It is creepy and gay at the same time.

Anonymous said...

http://www.youtube.com/user/TheGreatPiniter

It's from jared.

There's a channel by K1NGKULL where some videos make fun of him.
It seems MPD to me.

ray said...

howdy todd--

on Jan. 1 Newspaceman's posted "Jesus Wept," leading with a photo of the Archbishop of Canterbury, Rowan Williams, who while supposedly 'christian' turns out to be an inducted druid in the Gorsedd of Bards

so the black bird crashes of same day got my attention -- first thing to mind after hearing of the Gifford's shooting

Rowan ('tree') Williams is the marrying authority in the upcoming conuinctio, William wedding (twin wills)

here's text of my comment on Newspaceman's blog after the shooting:

"we were discussing the arkansas bird die-off and i expected a pretty deep rabbit hole --
Gorsedd of Bards (=Birds ie druids)

today a guy named Jared Loughner shot an Arizona congresswoman, Gabrielle Giffords, pointblank in the head, and killed a federal judge and nine year old girl

recent from Jared's blog:


"There’s a new bird on my right shoulder. The beak is two feet and lime green. The rarest bird on earth, there’s no feathers, but small grey scales all over the body. It’s with one large red eye with a light blue iris. . .
I want you to imagine a comet or meteoroid coming through the atmosphere.
On the other hand, welcome yourself to the desert: Maybe your ability to protest is from the brainwash of the current government structure."


the media dismiss this as indecipherable lunatic raving, but it seems quite legible, from the start .... bird on right shoulder = taking counsel ie 'new bird' means he's becoming conscious of outside influences"
____

nice piece to tie some of the threads, tho there are many, it's a signal event -- i'd say that, as with Newspaceman's lead photo of Rowan Williams, your lead of the Avis Nigroque princess encapsulates the matter

doesnt look like you lost a step while on vacation todd ;O)

cheers

ray

FilmNoir23 said...

Thanks as always for the comments and kind words!

It's good to be back...

Ray, great tie in with the Twin Williams. Obviously this "union" is going to be significant...what actually happens before and after is what I will likely be looking at.

Loughner...yet another conspira-loon unleashed with bloody results. thus making it harder and harder to get the truth out there to the masses...one side pushes back at the other. The coming powder keg will not be pretty and TPTB know this all too well.

aferrismoon said...

In Iran 77 people died in a plane crash [ either the 8th or the 9th] while, in this case, police surrounded a house on 7700 N.Soledad Ave.

77 is also prominent in the 9/11 ritual which was brought into public consciousness via Christina Green's birth and death.

Black Swans are Australian and there seems plenty of water there.

Apparently both Jared's mother and Mrs Giffords both attend the same synagogue.

Your comments on comets imply her husband who will fly the last ever space-shuttle.


cheers

ray said...

"Ray, great tie in with the Twin Williams. Obviously this "union" is going to be significant"


agreed, that union is a major piece

but the omen expressed in the global bird/faunal die-off on the west's New Year extends well beyond the brit nuptial and related synchs of Williams/Williams and bird/bard

e.g., yr illustration of the red/black swans is also on-point -- recall that the controlling color scheme for the obama victory was solely red/black, particularly michelle robinson's "black widow spider" outfit (not to mention the birdly robin-sons, which i term robbing-sons)

cheers todd

ray